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    usually trouble. My point is, pay attention to the simple stuff too. We think things have to be complex, but remember, simple is complex and complex is sim
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    Here’s a quick trading tip. I have a long-term “chopping” market model I use for writing commodity options for premium collection. It consists of two “sub-models” for each commodity, bull and bear. These are fairly complex models with a fair amount of computer code. Just today I started experimenting with a simple moving average that blocked signals if against the major trend. It made a measurable difference in the long term performance! I found the percentage of win/loss went up as well as the profit/loss ratio.

    Just a little thing like a bull/bear filter can keep you out of some losers. Bucking the main trend is usually trouble. My point is, pay attention to the simple stuff too. We think things have to be complex, but remember, simple is complex and complex is simp

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    odels” for each commodity, bull and bear. These are fairly complex models with a fair amount of computer code. Just today I started experimenting with a simple moving average that blocked signals if against the major trend. It made a measurable difference in the long term performance! I found the percentage of win/loss went up as well as the profit/loss ratio.

    Just a little thing like a bull/bear filter can keep you out of some losers. Bucking the main trend is usually trouble. My point is, pay attention to the simple stuff too. We think things have to be complex, but remember, simple is complex and complex is sim

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    le moving average that blocked signals if against the major trend. It made a measurable difference in the long term performance! I found the percentage of win/loss went up as well as the profit/loss ratio.

    Just a little thing like a bull/bear filter can keep you out of some losers. Bucking the main trend is usually trouble. My point is, pay attention to the simple stuff too. We think things have to be complex, but remember, simple is complex and complex is sim

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    n/loss went up as well as the profit/loss ratio.

    Just a little thing like a bull/bear filter can keep you out of some losers. Bucking the main trend is usually trouble. My point is, pay attention to the simple stuff too. We think things have to be complex, but remember, simple is complex and complex is sim

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    usually trouble. My point is, pay attention to the simple stuff too. We think things have to be complex, but remember, simple is complex and complex is simple in the commodity futures contract market. Another way to say this is optimization and curve fitting is complex and a loser. Loose, simple and flexible techniques are often winners.... at least for a while. Matching a simple method to the right market, at the right time, is the challenge.

    I think Joe Granville said it right one night. I attended one of his free “performances” in 1981. Joe is a showman. He said something to the effect, paraphrased, “ I’m crazy! That’s what it takes. You must be different from the crowd to understand the market. Crazy people like me are successful for this reason….”

    Being a

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